The European Union is preparing to impose historic sanctions on Rwanda and nine individuals linked to violence in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC). This move puts Rwandan President Paul Kagame under serious diplomatic pressure. Sensing the danger, Kagame has been making frequent public appearances, seemingly trying to prepare his people for tough times ahead. Since January 1, 2025, he has made 20 public speeches—an unusually high number, suggesting growing concern. Just months ago, he confidently declared that “nothing will happen,” but now, his tone has changed, signaling a shift in strategy.
In the DRC, government officials have reacted to these developments. Patrick Muyaya, the Congolese Minister of Communication, commented: “It’s normal, they are the ones who need to save face.” His statement implies that Rwanda is trying to justify its actions as international criticism mounts.
At the same time, behind the scenes, France is working to soften the EU’s stance on Rwanda. According to diplomatic sources, the French government is pressuring some EU countries to delay or block the sanctions, aiming to shield Kagame’s administration. Luxembourg has reportedly already been used as a diplomatic shield, and France is now looking for more allies to push back against the decision. This is not the first time France has intervened to protect its strategic and economic interests in Africa.
A video shared by Marc Botenga, a Belgian Member of the European Parliament (MEP) has shed light on these diplomatic maneuvers. The footage revealed that a former French foreign minister had urged the EU to stop working with the DRC, further fueling suspicions that France is interfering in the EU’s decision-making process.
Meanwhile, Kagame has made a surprising admission. He claimed that Rwanda’s involvement in the DRC is about protecting Banyarwanda (people of Rwandan descent) living in Congo. However, beneath this explanation lies a bigger issue: control over valuable economic and strategic resources in the region. Many now question whether Rwandan-backed armed groups and their Congolese recruits truly understand what they are fighting for.
With March 17 fast approaching, the key question remains: Will the EU stand firm against French pressure, or will Kagame escape these sanctions? The decision could reshape the balance of power in the Great Lakes region and redefine relations between Europe, the DRC, and Rwanda.
Therwandan
